What the model makes of them
1.19goals scored against an average opponent
1.09goals conceded against an average opponent
10thattack, of 20
12thdefence, of 20
The model rates Aston Villa's attack 10th of 20 and its defence 12th: against an average opponent it projects 1.19 goals scored and 1.09 conceded.
Across the next 8 fixtures the kindest is Sunderland in gameweek 11 (home), where the model has them +0.41 goals better off; the hardest is Manchester City in gameweek 8 at -0.46.
Taken as a run rather than a fixture at a time, that schedule ranks 10th of 20 in the league for attacking upside over the same window.
Buendía is the model's pick of the squad on 31.2 points over the run, 3.4 clear of Suzuki.
The next fixtures
| Gameweek | Opponent | Venue | Team xG | Opponent xG | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW6 | Brentford | Home | 1.43 | 1.34 | +0.08 |
| GW7 | Newcastle United | Away | 1.17 | 1.62 | -0.45 |
| GW8 | Manchester City | Home | 1.13 | 1.59 | -0.46 |
| GW9 | Fulham | Home | 1.43 | 1.13 | +0.31 |
| GW10 | Manchester United | Away | 1.16 | 1.59 | -0.43 |
| GW11 | Sunderland | Home | 1.40 | 0.99 | +0.41 |
| GW12 | Ipswich Town | Away | 1.45 | 1.12 | +0.33 |
| GW13 | Everton | Home | 1.37 | 1.02 | +0.35 |
Aston Villa players, ranked
| Player | Pos | Price | xMins | Starts | GW6 xPts | Ceiling | Haul | Blank | Run total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buendía | MID | £5.9m | 69 | 82% | 4.29 | 10.4 | 11% | 29% | 31.2 |
| Suzuki | GKP | £5.0m | 78 | 87% | 3.72 | 8.1 | 1% | 31% | 27.8 |
| N.Jackson | FWD | £6.5m | 72 | 81% | 3.68 | 8.2 | 7% | 35% | 26.5 |
| McGinn | MID | £5.4m | 79 | 91% | 3.38 | 8.4 | 5% | 25% | 24.5 |
| Lindelöf | DEF | £4.5m | 78 | 84% | 2.63 | 5.6 | 2% | 70% | 19.3 |
| Cash | DEF | £4.4m | 74 | 79% | 2.65 | 6.6 | 3% | 67% | 18.9 |
| Mings | DEF | £4.5m | 69 | 72% | 2.66 | 7.0 | 3% | 66% | 18.6 |
| Wan-Bissaka | DEF | £4.5m | 70 | 70% | 2.54 | 6.6 | 2% | 66% | 18.3 |
| Kamara | MID | £5.0m | 74 | 80% | 2.57 | 5.2 | 1% | 33% | 17.3 |
| Gomes | MID | £5.5m | 48 | 50% | 2.25 | 5.2 | 3% | 56% | 17.0 |
| Barkley | MID | £5.0m | 50 | 45% | 2.40 | 7.3 | 4% | 56% | 15.2 |
| Goretzka | MID | £5.9m | 26 | 26% | 1.31 | 3.1 | 2% | 76% | 14.5 |
| Pau | DEF | £4.5m | 39 | 39% | 1.43 | 5.6 | 1% | 84% | 13.0 |
| Manzambi | MID | £5.9m | 29 | 27% | 1.30 | 3.1 | 1% | 75% | 11.8 |
| George Hemmings | MID | £4.5m | 39 | 46% | 1.76 | 4.2 | 2% | 62% | 10.6 |
| Mbaye | MID | £6.0m | 22 | 22% | 1.08 | 3.1 | 1% | 80% | 10.5 |
| Harwood-Bellis | DEF | £4.5m | 35 | 36% | 1.42 | 5.6 | 1% | 82% | 9.9 |
| Abraham | FWD | £5.5m | 15 | 10% | 0.88 | 2.4 | 2% | 88% | 8.9 |
| Garnacho | MID | £5.8m | 16 | 16% | 0.83 | 2.1 | 1% | 86% | 8.8 |
| Maatsen | DEF | £4.5m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8.5 |
| Bogarde | MID | £5.0m | 11 | 11% | 0.42 | 1.0 | 0% | 92% | 3.6 |
| Ruggeri | DEF | £4.5m | 7 | 7% | 0.30 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 3.1 |
| M.Bizot | GKP | £4.5m | 6 | 7% | 0.20 | 0.0 | 0% | 96% | 3.0 |
| A.García | DEF | £4.0m | 8 | 10% | 0.37 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 2.9 |
| Rowe | DEF | £4.0m | 8 | 8% | 0.30 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 2.8 |
| Wright | GKP | £4.0m | 5 | 6% | 0.28 | 0.0 | 0% | 95% | 2.7 |
| Alysson | MID | £5.0m | 3 | 2% | 0.13 | 0.0 | 0% | 98% | 2.3 |
| Burrowes | MID | £4.5m | 5 | 4% | 0.28 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 2.1 |
| Onana | MID | £4.9m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1.9 |