What the model makes of them
0.83goals scored against an average opponent
1.31goals conceded against an average opponent
19thattack, of 20
18thdefence, of 20
The model rates Coventry City's attack 19th of 20 and its defence 18th: against an average opponent it projects 0.83 goals scored and 1.31 conceded.
They were promoted this summer, so the rating leans harder on the market and on prior-division form than it does for an established side — treat it as a wider bet.
Across the next 8 fixtures the kindest is Ipswich Town in gameweek 13 (home), where the model has them +0.11 goals better off; the hardest is Leeds United in gameweek 12 at -0.74.
Taken as a run rather than a fixture at a time, that schedule ranks 19th of 20 in the league for attacking upside over the same window.
Thomas is the model's pick of the squad on 28.3 points over the run, 0.5 clear of Pinnock.
The next fixtures
| Gameweek | Opponent | Venue | Team xG | Opponent xG | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW6 | Newcastle United | Home | 0.97 | 1.63 | -0.67 |
| GW7 | Tottenham Hotspur | Away | 0.86 | 1.58 | -0.72 |
| GW8 | Fulham | Home | 1.00 | 1.33 | -0.34 |
| GW9 | Sunderland | Home | 0.97 | 1.16 | -0.19 |
| GW10 | Everton | Away | 0.79 | 1.41 | -0.62 |
| GW11 | Crystal Palace | Home | 0.98 | 1.36 | -0.38 |
| GW12 | Leeds United | Away | 0.81 | 1.56 | -0.74 |
| GW13 | Ipswich Town | Home | 1.19 | 1.07 | +0.11 |
Coventry City players, ranked
| Player | Pos | Price | xMins | Starts | GW6 xPts | Ceiling | Haul | Blank | Run total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas | DEF | £4.0m | 85 | 97% | 3.32 | 7.5 | 3% | 50% | 28.3 |
| Pinnock | DEF | £4.5m | 88 | 96% | 3.63 | 7.5 | 2% | 37% | 27.8 |
| Dasilva | DEF | £4.0m | 86 | 97% | 2.66 | 5.6 | 2% | 68% | 22.2 |
| van Ewijk | DEF | £4.0m | 53 | 56% | 1.76 | 5.6 | 1% | 78% | 20.3 |
| Rudoni | MID | £4.9m | 62 | 71% | 2.83 | 6.3 | 3% | 41% | 19.5 |
| Rushworth | GKP | £4.5m | 77 | 86% | 2.46 | 5.4 | 0% | 54% | 19.3 |
| Grimes | MID | £4.9m | 76 | 80% | 2.68 | 5.2 | 3% | 29% | 18.5 |
| Mason-Clark | MID | £5.4m | 56 | 67% | 2.31 | 5.2 | 2% | 47% | 17.7 |
| Onyeka | MID | £4.9m | 59 | 64% | 2.19 | 4.2 | 1% | 51% | 15.3 |
| Gboho | MID | £5.5m | 43 | 46% | 1.83 | 4.2 | 2% | 63% | 15.3 |
| Thomas-Asante | FWD | £5.0m | 51 | 56% | 2.50 | 7.1 | 4% | 52% | 14.8 |
| Awoniyi | FWD | £5.4m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 13.4 |
| Tchaouna | MID | £5.4m | 30 | 32% | 1.31 | 3.1 | 1% | 74% | 11.6 |
| Amenda | DEF | £4.0m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 10.5 |
| Simms | FWD | £5.0m | 31 | 38% | 1.71 | 4.7 | 2% | 69% | 10.2 |
| Hamer | MID | £5.4m | 18 | 16% | 0.81 | 2.1 | 1% | 86% | 8.9 |
| Torp | MID | £5.3m | 15 | 15% | 0.70 | 2.1 | 1% | 88% | 8.1 |
| Yirenkyi | MID | £4.9m | 30 | 27% | 1.10 | 3.1 | 1% | 78% | 7.4 |
| Cherif | FWD | £5.0m | 20 | 21% | 0.99 | 2.4 | 1% | 82% | 6.5 |
| Bidwell | DEF | £4.0m | 38 | 43% | 1.31 | 5.6 | 1% | 83% | 5.8 |
| Mfuni | DEF | £4.0m | 33 | 36% | 0.92 | 2.8 | 1% | 89% | 4.4 |
| Latibeaudiere | DEF | £4.0m | 21 | 24% | 0.75 | 2.0 | 1% | 90% | 3.7 |
| Eccles | MID | £4.8m | 7 | 6% | 0.34 | 1.0 | 0% | 95% | 3.5 |
| Bentley | GKP | £4.0m | 8 | 9% | 0.30 | 0.0 | 0% | 95% | 3.1 |
| Wilson | GKP | £4.4m | 4 | 4% | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0% | 96% | 2.9 |
| Woolfenden | DEF | £4.0m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2.4 |
| Sakamoto | MID | £4.8m | 5 | 4% | 0.25 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 2.4 |
| Shepherd | MID | £4.4m | 7 | 6% | 0.35 | 1.0 | 0% | 95% | 2.4 |
| Kesler-Hayden | DEF | £3.9m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.8 |