What the model makes of them
The model rates Brentford's attack 8th of 20 and its defence 13th: against an average opponent it projects 1.35 goals scored and 1.10 conceded.
Across the next 8 fixtures the kindest is Hull City in gameweek 8 (away), where the model has them +0.60 goals better off; the hardest is Arsenal in gameweek 13 at -0.32.
Taken as a run rather than a fixture at a time, that schedule ranks 9th of 20 in the league for attacking upside over the same window.
Thiago is the model's pick of the squad on 36.3 points over the run, 6.5 clear of Schade.
The next fixtures
| Gameweek | Opponent | Venue | Team xG | Opponent xG | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW6 | Aston Villa | Away | 1.34 | 1.43 | -0.08 |
| GW7 | Liverpool | Home | 1.40 | 1.54 | -0.14 |
| GW8 | Hull City | Away | 1.59 | 0.99 | +0.60 |
| GW9 | Nottingham Forest | Home | 1.63 | 1.13 | +0.50 |
| GW10 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Away | 1.31 | 1.62 | -0.31 |
| GW11 | Everton | Home | 1.55 | 1.02 | +0.52 |
| GW12 | Manchester United | Away | 1.32 | 1.61 | -0.29 |
| GW13 | Arsenal | Home | 1.14 | 1.46 | -0.32 |
Brentford players, ranked
| Player | Pos | Price | xMins | Starts | GW6 xPts | Ceiling | Haul | Blank | Run total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago | FWD | £7.8m | 84 | 95% | 4.49 | 10.6 | 10% | 18% | 36.3 |
| Schade | MID | £6.1m | 77 | 95% | 3.67 | 8.4 | 6% | 20% | 29.8 |
| Anthony | MID | £5.9m | 61 | 68% | 3.20 | 8.4 | 5% | 39% | 25.2 |
| Ajer | DEF | £4.5m | 78 | 85% | 2.83 | 7.0 | 2% | 59% | 23.8 |
| Kelleher | GKP | £5.0m | 85 | 95% | 2.99 | 6.4 | 0% | 48% | 23.0 |
| Lewis-Potter | MID | £5.5m | 73 | 84% | 2.91 | 6.3 | 3% | 26% | 22.7 |
| M.Sangaré | MID | £5.6m | 58 | 68% | 2.73 | 6.3 | 3% | 45% | 21.7 |
| Janelt | MID | £5.0m | 75 | 80% | 2.97 | 6.3 | 3% | 34% | 21.7 |
| Kayode | DEF | £4.6m | 80 | 91% | 2.81 | 6.6 | 2% | 66% | 21.0 |
| Damsgaard | MID | £5.4m | 50 | 53% | 2.36 | 5.2 | 2% | 52% | 18.6 |
| O.Dango | MID | £6.3m | 36 | 35% | 1.82 | 5.2 | 2% | 67% | 15.9 |
| Yarmoliuk | MID | £4.8m | 51 | 56% | 2.09 | 4.2 | 1% | 54% | 13.7 |
| Schuster | DEF | £4.5m | 49 | 45% | 1.94 | 5.6 | 1% | 71% | 12.9 |
| Diouf | DEF | £4.5m | 45 | 45% | 1.60 | 5.6 | 1% | 81% | 11.0 |
| Jensen | MID | £5.4m | 21 | 14% | 0.75 | 2.1 | 0% | 86% | 9.7 |
| Collins | DEF | £5.4m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8.8 |
| Hickey | DEF | £4.5m | 38 | 40% | 1.31 | 5.6 | 0% | 84% | 8.6 |
| Wilson | FWD | £5.4m | 11 | 4% | 0.63 | 1.2 | 1% | 93% | 6.4 |
| Henry | DEF | £4.4m | 25 | 21% | 0.76 | 2.0 | 0% | 92% | 5.1 |
| Van den Berg | DEF | £4.9m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 4.9 |
| Carvalho | MID | £5.0m | 5 | 3% | 0.30 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 3.2 |
| Ji-soo | DEF | £4.4m | 7 | 7% | 0.29 | 1.0 | 0% | 97% | 2.5 |
| Fredrick | DEF | £4.0m | 8 | 7% | 0.32 | 1.0 | 0% | 97% | 2.4 |
| Dasilva | MID | £4.9m | 3 | 2% | 0.13 | 0.0 | 0% | 98% | 2.0 |
| Nunes | MID | £4.5m | 3 | 3% | 0.20 | 1.0 | 0% | 98% | 1.7 |
| Valdimarsson | GKP | £4.5m | 3 | 3% | 0.11 | 0.0 | 0% | 98% | 1.7 |
| Balcombe | GKP | £4.0m | 2 | 2% | 0.12 | 0.0 | 0% | 98% | 1.4 |
| Milambo | MID | £5.0m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1.0 |
| Furo | FWD | £4.5m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.4 |