What the model makes of them
The model rates Everton's attack 16th of 20 and its defence 4th: against an average opponent it projects 1.02 goals scored and 1.04 conceded.
Across the next 8 fixtures the kindest is Coventry City in gameweek 10 (home), where the model has them +0.62 goals better off; the hardest is Arsenal in gameweek 8 at -1.00.
Taken as a run rather than a fixture at a time, that schedule ranks 17th of 20 in the league for attacking upside over the same window.
Barry is the model's pick of the squad on 32.5 points over the run, 0.3 clear of Tarkowski.
The next fixtures
| Gameweek | Opponent | Venue | Team xG | Opponent xG | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW6 | Hull City | Away | 1.22 | 0.94 | +0.28 |
| GW7 | Chelsea | Home | 1.17 | 1.39 | -0.23 |
| GW8 | Arsenal | Away | 0.66 | 1.66 | -1.00 |
| GW9 | Newcastle United | Away | 1.00 | 1.56 | -0.56 |
| GW10 | Coventry City | Home | 1.41 | 0.79 | +0.62 |
| GW11 | Brentford | Away | 1.02 | 1.55 | -0.52 |
| GW12 | Liverpool | Home | 1.09 | 1.48 | -0.39 |
| GW13 | Aston Villa | Away | 1.02 | 1.37 | -0.35 |
Everton players, ranked
| Player | Pos | Price | xMins | Starts | GW6 xPts | Ceiling | Haul | Blank | Run total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry | FWD | £5.6m | 76 | 97% | 4.46 | 9.5 | 10% | 18% | 32.5 |
| Tarkowski | DEF | £6.1m | 89 | 97% | 4.75 | 9.5 | 7% | 31% | 32.2 |
| Garner | MID | £6.0m | 86 | 96% | 4.14 | 8.4 | 6% | 13% | 30.9 |
| Dewsbury-Hall | MID | £6.6m | 83 | 97% | 3.83 | 8.4 | 8% | 16% | 28.4 |
| Branthwaite | DEF | £5.5m | 86 | 85% | 3.93 | 7.6 | 4% | 43% | 26.7 |
| Pickford | GKP | £5.5m | 86 | 95% | 3.28 | 6.4 | 0% | 44% | 23.5 |
| Johnson | MID | £5.9m | 73 | 79% | 3.13 | 7.3 | 4% | 31% | 23.3 |
| Mykolenko | DEF | £4.6m | 87 | 93% | 3.63 | 7.5 | 3% | 51% | 22.3 |
| Grealish | MID | £6.5m | 60 | 54% | 2.55 | 6.3 | 4% | 49% | 19.5 |
| Armstrong | MID | £5.0m | 64 | 74% | 2.61 | 5.2 | 3% | 40% | 17.1 |
| George | MID | £5.5m | 49 | 57% | 2.21 | 4.2 | 2% | 52% | 16.1 |
| Keane | DEF | £4.8m | 40 | 25% | 1.63 | 5.6 | 2% | 80% | 12.0 |
| Maitland-Niles | DEF | £4.5m | 49 | 35% | 1.71 | 5.6 | 1% | 81% | 11.0 |
| Hackney | MID | £5.5m | 26 | 27% | 1.22 | 3.1 | 1% | 76% | 10.5 |
| O'Brien | DEF | £4.9m | 31 | 26% | 1.28 | 4.6 | 1% | 88% | 9.8 |
| Röhl | MID | £4.9m | 21 | 21% | 0.95 | 3.1 | 1% | 81% | 8.2 |
| Dibling | MID | £5.4m | 19 | 20% | 0.95 | 3.1 | 1% | 83% | 8.1 |
| Alcaraz | MID | £4.9m | 9 | 8% | 0.45 | 1.0 | 1% | 93% | 3.7 |
| Graham | MID | £4.5m | 9 | 8% | 0.44 | 1.0 | 0% | 93% | 3.3 |
| Nørgaard | MID | £4.9m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2.1 |
| Travers | GKP | £5.0m | 3 | 4% | 0.14 | 0.0 | 0% | 98% | 2.0 |
| King | GKP | £4.5m | 1 | 1% | 0.06 | 0.0 | 0% | 99% | 0.7 |