What the model makes of them
The model rates Crystal Palace's attack 11th of 20 and its defence 11th: against an average opponent it projects 1.18 goals scored and 1.08 conceded.
Across the next 8 fixtures the kindest is Hull City in gameweek 12 (home), where the model has them +0.79 goals better off; the hardest is Chelsea in gameweek 13 at -0.56.
Taken as a run rather than a fixture at a time, that schedule ranks 11th of 20 in the league for attacking upside over the same window.
Richards is the model's pick of the squad on 28.6 points over the run, 1.6 clear of Khalaili.
The next fixtures
| Gameweek | Opponent | Venue | Team xG | Opponent xG | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW6 | Nottingham Forest | Home | 1.42 | 1.11 | +0.31 |
| GW7 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Away | 1.14 | 1.60 | -0.46 |
| GW8 | Newcastle United | Home | 1.38 | 1.35 | +0.03 |
| GW9 | Tottenham Hotspur | Away | 1.23 | 1.32 | -0.09 |
| GW10 | Liverpool | Home | 1.25 | 1.52 | -0.27 |
| GW11 | Coventry City | Away | 1.36 | 0.98 | +0.38 |
| GW12 | Hull City | Home | 1.61 | 0.82 | +0.79 |
| GW13 | Chelsea | Away | 1.15 | 1.71 | -0.56 |
Crystal Palace players, ranked
| Player | Pos | Price | xMins | Starts | GW6 xPts | Ceiling | Haul | Blank | Run total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richards | DEF | £5.0m | 83 | 92% | 4.02 | 8.0 | 4% | 39% | 28.6 |
| Khalaili | DEF | £5.0m | 74 | 84% | 4.19 | 9.4 | 8% | 45% | 27.0 |
| Mitchell | DEF | £4.5m | 83 | 94% | 3.60 | 7.4 | 4% | 54% | 24.2 |
| Strand Larsen | FWD | £6.0m | 58 | 65% | 3.10 | 8.2 | 6% | 44% | 22.0 |
| Wharton | MID | £5.5m | 62 | 68% | 2.80 | 5.2 | 3% | 39% | 21.1 |
| Sarr | MID | £6.2m | 49 | 43% | 2.54 | 7.3 | 5% | 56% | 20.5 |
| Canvot | DEF | £4.8m | 66 | 73% | 3.28 | 7.4 | 4% | 52% | 20.5 |
| Yeremy | MID | £5.5m | 50 | 60% | 2.45 | 6.3 | 4% | 51% | 18.6 |
| Mateta | FWD | £6.3m | 26 | 25% | 1.70 | 5.9 | 3% | 72% | 17.3 |
| Ahanor | DEF | £4.5m | 59 | 66% | 2.71 | 7.4 | 3% | 64% | 16.0 |
| Kamada | MID | £5.0m | 54 | 61% | 2.28 | 5.2 | 2% | 50% | 16.0 |
| Nketiah | FWD | £5.5m | 35 | 38% | 1.96 | 5.9 | 4% | 69% | 14.3 |
| Henderson | GKP | £5.0m | 42 | 46% | 1.44 | 4.7 | 0% | 76% | 14.3 |
| Disasi | DEF | £4.5m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 14.2 |
| Timber | MID | £5.0m | 42 | 46% | 2.14 | 5.2 | 3% | 58% | 12.9 |
| McNeil | MID | £5.4m | 29 | 22% | 1.37 | 4.2 | 2% | 75% | 12.2 |
| Benitez | GKP | £4.5m | 42 | 47% | 1.86 | 5.7 | 0% | 66% | 11.2 |
| Tomiyasu | DEF | £4.4m | 38 | 41% | 1.67 | 5.6 | 2% | 78% | 9.5 |
| Osorio | MID | £5.5m | 18 | 19% | 0.96 | 3.1 | 1% | 83% | 9.5 |
| Guessand | MID | £5.4m | 12 | 11% | 0.56 | 2.1 | 0% | 90% | 7.0 |
| Lerma | MID | £4.9m | 27 | 20% | 1.06 | 4.2 | 1% | 80% | 6.5 |
| Chilwell | DEF | £4.5m | 20 | 21% | 0.99 | 4.0 | 2% | 88% | 6.3 |
| Hughes | MID | £4.4m | 31 | 26% | 1.04 | 3.1 | 1% | 79% | 6.2 |
| Doucouré | MID | £4.9m | 13 | 9% | 0.41 | 1.0 | 0% | 93% | 3.2 |
| Chadi Riad | DEF | £4.3m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 3.1 |
| Mingueza | DEF | £4.4m | 8 | 8% | 0.34 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 3.1 |
| Matthews | GKP | £4.0m | 6 | 7% | 0.32 | 0.0 | 0% | 94% | 2.4 |
| Gozo | MID | £5.0m | 4 | 4% | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0% | 97% | 2.2 |
| Drakes-Thomas | MID | £4.5m | 3 | 3% | 0.21 | 0.0 | 0% | 97% | 1.8 |