Fulham FPL projections and fixtures

Projected points, expected minutes and fixture-by-fixture expected goals for the Fulham squad, from gameweek 6 onwards.

Rebuilt .

What the model makes of them

1.13goals scored against an average opponent
1.10goals conceded against an average opponent
13thattack, of 20
14thdefence, of 20

The model rates Fulham's attack 13th of 20 and its defence 14th: against an average opponent it projects 1.13 goals scored and 1.10 conceded.

Across the next 8 fixtures the kindest is Hull City in gameweek 7 (home), where the model has them +0.77 goals better off; the hardest is Manchester City in gameweek 11 at -1.00.

Taken as a run rather than a fixture at a time, that schedule ranks 12th of 20 in the league for attacking upside over the same window.

Gonzalo is the model's pick of the squad on 31.5 points over the run, 6.0 clear of Iwobi.

The next fixtures

GameweekOpponentVenueTeam xGOpponent xGDifference
GW6Ipswich TownAway1.461.14+0.33
GW7Hull CityHome1.600.84+0.77
GW8Coventry CityAway1.331.00+0.34
GW9Aston VillaAway1.131.43-0.31
GW10Newcastle UnitedHome1.331.38-0.05
GW11Manchester CityAway0.921.92-1.00
GW12BournemouthHome1.391.36+0.03
GW13Tottenham HotspurAway1.171.34-0.17
The model's own expected goals for each side of the fixture, not FPL's difficulty colours.

Fulham players, ranked

PlayerPosPricexMinsStartsGW6 xPtsCeilingHaulBlankRun total
GonzaloFWD£6.0m6979%4.4810.612%27%31.5
IwobiMID£5.4m7276%3.548.47%28%25.5
RobinsonDEF£4.5m7678%3.548.46%53%24.0
LenoGKP£4.5m8291%2.915.70%50%21.9
AndersenDEF£5.0m6563%2.767.43%59%21.9
CastagneDEF£4.5m7374%3.187.44%59%21.1
BasseyDEF£4.5m7481%3.047.03%61%20.7
KingMID£5.5m4965%2.566.33%49%18.9
CharlesMID£5.0m5257%2.505.24%49%17.6
BobbMID£5.5m4861%2.315.23%52%17.3
PalaciosMID£5.4m4250%2.126.33%59%16.2
BergeMID£4.9m6667%2.244.21%42%15.4
Smith RoweMID£5.4m3536%1.694.23%69%14.2
AffengruberDEF£4.5m3942%1.765.62%77%12.2
MunizFWD£5.4m2022%1.202.42%81%11.2
TeteDEF£4.4m2724%1.144.61%85%10.4
SessegnonDEF£4.4m1614%0.872.82%89%10.1
ÁngelMID£5.0m2729%1.243.12%76%9.7
KevinMID£5.3m1719%0.883.11%83%8.4
J.CuencaDEF£4.5m2124%1.073.81%85%8.3
LarssonMID£5.0m1617%0.862.11%85%7.7
CairneyMID£4.9m97%0.321.00%95%4.6
LecomteGKP£4.0m89%0.400.00%93%4.6
ZepaMID£4.5m88%0.411.00%93%2.8
ReedMID£4.4m64%0.251.00%96%1.9
Kusi-AsareFWD£4.5m22%0.170.00%98%1.4
Ordered by projected points across gameweeks 6–13. Blank is the chance of two points or fewer.

Plan transfers in the app

More projections

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About these figures

These figures are produced automatically from our own projection model and rebuilt as new data arrives — team news, results, prices and fixtures. Last rebuilt .

These are averages over thousands of simulated gameweeks, not predictions of what will happen: a single week can land a long way from the average, in either direction. The model reads published data only — it has no access to press conferences or leaked team sheets. Graded by walk-forward testing across a completed season, its average error is 1.05 points per player per gameweek over 25,750 graded player-gameweeks. That grading is blind to team news by design: each week is rebuilt from match results alone, so every player in it is scored as though he was fit and available.

The method, and where the model is measurably wrong, are set out in full on how it works.