What the model makes of them
0.83goals scored against an average opponent
1.31goals conceded against an average opponent
19thattack, of 20
18thdefence, of 20
The model rates Hull City's attack 19th of 20 and its defence 18th: against an average opponent it projects 0.83 goals scored and 1.31 conceded.
They were promoted this summer, so the rating leans harder on the market and on prior-division form than it does for an established side — treat it as a wider bet.
Across the next 8 fixtures the kindest is Ipswich Town in gameweek 9 (home), where the model has them +0.13 goals better off; the hardest is Arsenal in gameweek 10 at -1.46.
Taken as a run rather than a fixture at a time, that schedule ranks 20th of 20 in the league for attacking upside over the same window.
McBurnie is the model's pick of the squad on 31.1 points over the run, 3.2 clear of Tzolakis.
The next fixtures
| Gameweek | Opponent | Venue | Team xG | Opponent xG | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW6 | Everton | Home | 0.94 | 1.22 | -0.28 |
| GW7 | Fulham | Away | 0.84 | 1.60 | -0.77 |
| GW8 | Brentford | Home | 0.99 | 1.59 | -0.60 |
| GW9 | Ipswich Town | Home | 1.23 | 1.10 | +0.13 |
| GW10 | Arsenal | Away | 0.56 | 2.02 | -1.46 |
| GW11 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Home | 0.96 | 1.56 | -0.61 |
| GW12 | Crystal Palace | Away | 0.82 | 1.61 | -0.79 |
| GW13 | Nottingham Forest | Home | 0.99 | 1.28 | -0.28 |
Hull City players, ranked
| Player | Pos | Price | xMins | Starts | GW6 xPts | Ceiling | Haul | Blank | Run total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McBurnie | FWD | £5.5m | 77 | 94% | 3.96 | 9.4 | 9% | 26% | 31.1 |
| Tzolakis | GKP | £4.6m | 85 | 94% | 3.67 | 8.0 | 0% | 35% | 27.8 |
| Egan | DEF | £4.1m | 83 | 94% | 3.39 | 7.5 | 2% | 46% | 23.8 |
| Belloumi | MID | £5.1m | 77 | 94% | 3.06 | 6.3 | 3% | 24% | 23.5 |
| Ajayi | DEF | £4.2m | 83 | 94% | 3.16 | 7.0 | 3% | 61% | 21.9 |
| Mendy | DEF | £4.1m | 60 | 77% | 2.85 | 7.5 | 2% | 60% | 20.1 |
| Giles | DEF | £4.0m | 80 | 92% | 2.99 | 6.6 | 2% | 63% | 20.0 |
| Slater | MID | £4.5m | 79 | 86% | 2.92 | 6.3 | 3% | 26% | 19.3 |
| Coyle | DEF | £4.0m | 70 | 87% | 2.52 | 5.6 | 2% | 70% | 17.0 |
| Stroud | MID | £5.0m | 45 | 56% | 1.84 | 3.1 | 1% | 59% | 13.2 |
| Thomas | MID | £5.5m | 33 | 31% | 1.30 | 3.1 | 1% | 72% | 11.4 |
| Iroegbunam | MID | £5.0m | 23 | 24% | 0.98 | 3.1 | 0% | 81% | 8.8 |
| Gourna-Douath | MID | £5.0m | 23 | 22% | 1.01 | 3.1 | 1% | 81% | 7.9 |
| Crooks | MID | £4.4m | 35 | 34% | 1.26 | 3.1 | 1% | 75% | 7.8 |
| Gelhardt | MID | £5.0m | 18 | 15% | 0.77 | 2.1 | 1% | 87% | 7.5 |
| Morita | MID | £5.0m | 12 | 12% | 0.54 | 1.0 | 0% | 90% | 7.3 |
| Cho | MID | £5.0m | 14 | 13% | 0.67 | 2.1 | 1% | 89% | 6.0 |
| Vaz | FWD | £5.0m | 10 | 10% | 0.57 | 1.2 | 1% | 91% | 5.0 |
| Mouzakitis | MID | £5.0m | 12 | 11% | 0.58 | 1.0 | 0% | 90% | 4.5 |
| Herrington | DEF | £4.0m | 13 | 12% | 0.46 | 1.0 | 0% | 95% | 3.8 |
| Ömür | MID | £4.9m | 10 | 9% | 0.50 | 1.0 | 0% | 92% | 3.8 |
| McCarthy | DEF | £4.0m | 8 | 8% | 0.36 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 3.2 |
| Phillips | GKP | £4.0m | 5 | 6% | 0.28 | 0.0 | 0% | 95% | 3.1 |
| Norton-Cuffy | DEF | £4.0m | 6 | 6% | 0.25 | 1.0 | 0% | 97% | 2.6 |
| Dowell | MID | £4.5m | 9 | 5% | 0.31 | 1.0 | 0% | 95% | 2.3 |
| Zambrano | MID | £4.5m | 6 | 5% | 0.27 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 2.1 |
| McNair | DEF | £4.0m | 4 | 4% | 0.15 | 0.0 | 0% | 98% | 2.0 |
| Targett | DEF | £4.0m | 3 | 2% | 0.08 | 0.0 | 0% | 99% | 2.0 |
| Hjertø-Dahl | MID | £4.9m | 3 | 3% | 0.17 | 0.0 | 0% | 97% | 1.8 |
| Butland | GKP | £4.5m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1.2 |