What the model makes of them
The model rates Leeds United's attack 12th of 20 and its defence 8th: against an average opponent it projects 1.14 goals scored and 1.07 conceded.
Across the next 8 fixtures the kindest is Coventry City in gameweek 12 (home), where the model has them +0.74 goals better off; the hardest is Arsenal in gameweek 6 at -0.99.
Taken as a run rather than a fixture at a time, that schedule ranks 14th of 20 in the league for attacking upside over the same window.
Calvert-Lewin is the model's pick of the squad on 32.7 points over the run, 4.8 clear of Stach.
The next fixtures
| Gameweek | Opponent | Venue | Team xG | Opponent xG | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW6 | Arsenal | Away | 0.71 | 1.70 | -0.99 |
| GW7 | Manchester United | Home | 1.32 | 1.31 | +0.01 |
| GW8 | Sunderland | Away | 1.12 | 1.16 | -0.04 |
| GW9 | Bournemouth | Away | 1.18 | 1.57 | -0.39 |
| GW10 | Tottenham Hotspur | Home | 1.41 | 1.10 | +0.31 |
| GW11 | Chelsea | Away | 1.10 | 1.69 | -0.59 |
| GW12 | Coventry City | Home | 1.56 | 0.81 | +0.74 |
| GW13 | Manchester City | Away | 0.95 | 1.87 | -0.92 |
Leeds United players, ranked
| Player | Pos | Price | xMins | Starts | GW6 xPts | Ceiling | Haul | Blank | Run total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvert-Lewin | FWD | £6.0m | 76 | 83% | 3.33 | 7.1 | 5% | 29% | 32.7 |
| Stach | MID | £6.0m | 72 | 80% | 3.09 | 6.0 | 3% | 59% | 28.0 |
| Muharemović | DEF | £5.0m | 80 | 88% | 3.01 | 7.5 | 2% | 51% | 27.8 |
| Ampadu | MID | £5.4m | 83 | 84% | 3.23 | 5.9 | 2% | 47% | 26.9 |
| Justin | DEF | £4.5m | 80 | 84% | 2.67 | 6.6 | 2% | 62% | 23.8 |
| Bogle | DEF | £4.6m | 80 | 87% | 2.33 | 5.6 | 2% | 72% | 22.0 |
| Trafford | GKP | £5.0m | 76 | 84% | 2.67 | 6.4 | 0% | 50% | 21.3 |
| Bijol | DEF | £5.0m | 57 | 61% | 2.11 | 5.6 | 1% | 68% | 21.2 |
| Okafor | MID | £5.8m | 54 | 66% | 2.11 | 4.0 | 1% | 77% | 20.2 |
| Gudmundsson | DEF | £4.5m | 69 | 77% | 2.07 | 5.6 | 1% | 75% | 18.1 |
| Aaronson | MID | £5.4m | 56 | 56% | 1.95 | 4.0 | 1% | 77% | 17.7 |
| Elvedi | DEF | £4.5m | 61 | 63% | 2.07 | 5.6 | 1% | 71% | 17.6 |
| Tanaka | MID | £4.9m | 48 | 56% | 1.93 | 4.6 | 1% | 76% | 13.9 |
| Nmecha | FWD | £5.4m | 19 | 21% | 1.07 | 2.4 | 1% | 81% | 11.9 |
| Gruev | MID | £5.0m | 28 | 30% | 1.05 | 2.3 | 0% | 89% | 8.8 |
| Wilson | MID | £6.2m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 8.8 |
| Bahoya | MID | £5.0m | 19 | 19% | 0.78 | 2.0 | 1% | 92% | 6.6 |
| Longstaff | MID | £4.9m | 14 | 10% | 0.50 | 1.0 | 0% | 94% | 4.5 |
| Rodon | DEF | £4.3m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 4.5 |
| James | MID | £4.9m | 12 | 9% | 0.41 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 4.1 |
| Zetterer | GKP | £4.0m | 7 | 8% | 0.41 | 0.0 | 0% | 93% | 3.7 |
| Cairns | GKP | £4.0m | 7 | 8% | 0.40 | 0.0 | 0% | 93% | 3.7 |
| Bard | DEF | £4.5m | 9 | 9% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 3.7 |
| Lienou | DEF | £4.0m | 9 | 9% | 0.35 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 3.4 |
| Cresswell | MID | £4.5m | 9 | 9% | 0.38 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 3.1 |
| Mateo Joseph | FWD | £4.5m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.3 |