What the model makes of them
The model rates Liverpool's attack 2nd of 20 and its defence 3rd: against an average opponent it projects 1.53 goals scored and 0.94 conceded.
Across the next 8 fixtures the kindest is Sunderland in gameweek 13 (home), where the model has them +0.91 goals better off; the hardest is Arsenal in gameweek 9 at -0.07.
Taken as a run rather than a fixture at a time, that schedule ranks 3rd of 20 in the league for attacking upside over the same window.
Isak is the model's pick of the squad on 39.8 points over the run, 5.4 clear of Szoboszlai.
The next fixtures
| Gameweek | Opponent | Venue | Team xG | Opponent xG | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW6 | Manchester City | Home | 1.42 | 1.38 | +0.04 |
| GW7 | Brentford | Away | 1.54 | 1.40 | +0.14 |
| GW8 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Home | 1.77 | 1.19 | +0.58 |
| GW9 | Arsenal | Home | 1.21 | 1.28 | -0.07 |
| GW10 | Crystal Palace | Away | 1.52 | 1.25 | +0.27 |
| GW11 | Manchester United | Home | 1.78 | 1.20 | +0.59 |
| GW12 | Everton | Away | 1.48 | 1.09 | +0.39 |
| GW13 | Sunderland | Home | 1.80 | 0.89 | +0.91 |
Liverpool players, ranked
| Player | Pos | Price | xMins | Starts | GW6 xPts | Ceiling | Haul | Blank | Run total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isak | FWD | £9.1m | 80 | 88% | 4.72 | 10.6 | 11% | 17% | 39.8 |
| Szoboszlai | MID | £7.0m | 73 | 82% | 4.10 | 10.4 | 10% | 26% | 34.4 |
| Virgil | DEF | £6.5m | 87 | 91% | 3.57 | 7.4 | 4% | 48% | 31.6 |
| Wirtz | MID | £7.3m | 78 | 88% | 3.50 | 8.4 | 6% | 22% | 30.0 |
| Gakpo | MID | £7.2m | 59 | 67% | 2.94 | 7.3 | 4% | 42% | 24.7 |
| Jacquet | DEF | £5.0m | 69 | 78% | 2.62 | 6.6 | 2% | 66% | 21.1 |
| Barcola | MID | £8.0m | 53 | 59% | 2.41 | 6.3 | 3% | 50% | 20.6 |
| Munoz | MID | £6.5m | 52 | 61% | 2.35 | 6.3 | 2% | 52% | 19.5 |
| Kerkez | DEF | £5.4m | 63 | 69% | 2.27 | 5.6 | 2% | 75% | 19.5 |
| A.Becker | GKP | £5.5m | 65 | 73% | 2.45 | 5.8 | 0% | 55% | 19.3 |
| Araujo | DEF | £5.4m | 60 | 67% | 2.31 | 5.6 | 2% | 70% | 19.0 |
| Gravenberch | MID | £5.8m | 56 | 60% | 2.22 | 4.2 | 2% | 48% | 17.6 |
| Mac Allister | MID | £5.4m | 56 | 50% | 2.20 | 5.2 | 2% | 55% | 15.5 |
| Frimpong | DEF | £5.3m | 32 | 36% | 1.31 | 5.0 | 1% | 86% | 10.9 |
| Tsimikas | DEF | £4.9m | 35 | 36% | 1.33 | 5.0 | 1% | 84% | 10.6 |
| Ngumoha | MID | £5.7m | 15 | 16% | 0.80 | 2.1 | 1% | 87% | 8.4 |
| Gomez | DEF | £4.9m | 21 | 17% | 0.63 | 1.8 | 0% | 93% | 5.8 |
| Ekitiké | FWD | £7.4m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 5.3 |
| Mamardashvili | GKP | £4.9m | 15 | 17% | 0.58 | 2.4 | 0% | 89% | 4.7 |
| Danns | FWD | £4.5m | 13 | 14% | 0.72 | 2.4 | 1% | 87% | 3.2 |
| Lucky | DEF | £4.0m | 8 | 7% | 0.31 | 1.0 | 0% | 97% | 3.0 |
| McConnell | MID | £4.4m | 5 | 5% | 0.32 | 1.0 | 0% | 95% | 2.5 |
| Woodman | GKP | £4.0m | 6 | 7% | 0.24 | 0.0 | 0% | 95% | 2.2 |
| Bradley | DEF | £5.0m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2.1 |
| Endo | MID | £4.9m | 5 | 5% | 0.24 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 2.1 |
| Koumas | MID | £5.0m | 3 | 3% | 0.17 | 0.0 | 0% | 98% | 2.1 |
| Nyoni | MID | £4.9m | 1 | 1% | 0.10 | 0.0 | 0% | 99% | 1.6 |
| Davies | GKP | £4.0m | 3 | 3% | 0.14 | 0.0 | 0% | 97% | 1.4 |
| Chiesa | MID | £5.3m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.9 |
| Jaros | GKP | £4.0m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.2 |