What the model makes of them
The model rates Manchester City's attack 1st of 20 and its defence 2nd: against an average opponent it projects 1.60 goals scored and 0.85 conceded.
Across the next 8 fixtures the kindest is Ipswich Town in gameweek 7 (home), where the model has them +1.69 goals better off; the hardest is Arsenal in gameweek 12 at -0.32.
Taken as a run rather than a fixture at a time, that schedule ranks 1st of 20 in the league for attacking upside over the same window.
Haaland is the model's pick of the squad on 47.6 points over the run, 18.6 clear of Foden.
The next fixtures
| Gameweek | Opponent | Venue | Team xG | Opponent xG | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW6 | Liverpool | Away | 1.38 | 1.42 | -0.04 |
| GW7 | Ipswich Town | Home | 2.43 | 0.74 | +1.69 |
| GW8 | Aston Villa | Away | 1.59 | 1.13 | +0.46 |
| GW9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Home | 1.84 | 1.09 | +0.76 |
| GW10 | Nottingham Forest | Away | 1.61 | 1.08 | +0.53 |
| GW11 | Fulham | Home | 1.92 | 0.92 | +1.00 |
| GW12 | Arsenal | Away | 1.11 | 1.43 | -0.32 |
| GW13 | Leeds United | Home | 1.87 | 0.95 | +0.92 |
Manchester City players, ranked
| Player | Pos | Price | xMins | Starts | GW6 xPts | Ceiling | Haul | Blank | Run total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haaland | FWD | £15.6m | 85 | 97% | 5.14 | 10.6 | 13% | 9% | 47.6 |
| Foden | MID | £6.9m | 72 | 78% | 3.25 | 9.4 | 8% | 32% | 29.0 |
| Guéhi | DEF | £6.0m | 83 | 85% | 3.09 | 7.4 | 4% | 59% | 28.8 |
| Semenyo | MID | £8.4m | 70 | 78% | 3.20 | 7.3 | 4% | 33% | 28.4 |
| Anderson | MID | £6.3m | 65 | 74% | 3.38 | 6.3 | 4% | 33% | 26.8 |
| Gvardiol | DEF | £5.7m | 71 | 76% | 2.77 | 7.0 | 3% | 67% | 24.7 |
| Cherki | MID | £7.8m | 50 | 57% | 2.65 | 6.3 | 4% | 50% | 23.7 |
| Enzo | MID | £6.9m | 64 | 67% | 2.65 | 6.3 | 4% | 42% | 23.1 |
| O'Reilly | DEF | £6.4m | 53 | 57% | 2.05 | 5.6 | 2% | 78% | 22.1 |
| Rúben | DEF | £5.5m | 73 | 71% | 2.30 | 5.6 | 1% | 71% | 20.4 |
| Matheus N. | DEF | £5.9m | 60 | 62% | 2.15 | 5.6 | 2% | 74% | 19.6 |
| Ndiaye | MID | £5.8m | 54 | 55% | 2.57 | 6.3 | 3% | 49% | 19.1 |
| Donnarumma | GKP | £5.5m | 74 | 82% | 2.34 | 5.4 | 0% | 58% | 18.9 |
| Khusanov | DEF | £5.4m | 44 | 45% | 1.56 | 5.6 | 1% | 82% | 13.8 |
| Doku | MID | £7.4m | 13 | 12% | 0.65 | 2.1 | 1% | 89% | 11.6 |
| Aït-Nouri | DEF | £5.3m | 32 | 28% | 1.11 | 4.6 | 1% | 87% | 10.3 |
| Allan | MID | £6.0m | 24 | 23% | 1.10 | 3.1 | 1% | 78% | 9.4 |
| Lewis | DEF | £4.4m | 14 | 14% | 0.54 | 1.0 | 0% | 95% | 5.0 |
| Rulli | GKP | £5.0m | 9 | 11% | 0.51 | 1.4 | 0% | 91% | 4.9 |
| Bettinelli | GKP | £4.5m | 7 | 7% | 0.36 | 0.0 | 0% | 93% | 3.5 |
| Kovačić | MID | £5.4m | 10 | 6% | 0.29 | 1.0 | 0% | 95% | 2.8 |
| Bouaddi | MID | £5.5m | 4 | 4% | 0.24 | 1.0 | 0% | 97% | 2.5 |
| Vitor Reis | DEF | £4.5m | 3 | 3% | 0.13 | 0.0 | 0% | 99% | 2.1 |
| Samba | MID | £4.5m | 5 | 4% | 0.26 | 1.0 | 0% | 96% | 2.1 |
| Braithwaite | DEF | £4.0m | 3 | 2% | 0.10 | 0.0 | 0% | 99% | 1.5 |
| McAidoo | MID | £4.5m | 2 | 2% | 0.09 | 0.0 | 0% | 99% | 1.2 |