What the model makes of them
1.36goals scored against an average opponent
1.07goals conceded against an average opponent
5thattack, of 20
9thdefence, of 20
The model rates Newcastle United's attack 5th of 20 and its defence 9th: against an average opponent it projects 1.36 goals scored and 1.07 conceded.
Across the next 8 fixtures the kindest is Coventry City in gameweek 6 (away), where the model has them +0.67 goals better off; the hardest is Arsenal in gameweek 11 at -0.32.
Taken as a run rather than a fixture at a time, that schedule ranks 7th of 20 in the league for attacking upside over the same window.
Barnes is the model's pick of the squad on 34.6 points over the run, 3.3 clear of Thiaw.
The next fixtures
| Gameweek | Opponent | Venue | Team xG | Opponent xG | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW6 | Coventry City | Away | 1.63 | 0.97 | +0.67 |
| GW7 | Aston Villa | Home | 1.62 | 1.17 | +0.45 |
| GW8 | Crystal Palace | Away | 1.35 | 1.38 | -0.03 |
| GW9 | Everton | Home | 1.56 | 1.00 | +0.56 |
| GW10 | Fulham | Away | 1.38 | 1.33 | +0.05 |
| GW11 | Arsenal | Home | 1.11 | 1.43 | -0.32 |
| GW12 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Away | 1.33 | 1.59 | -0.26 |
| GW13 | Manchester United | Home | 1.59 | 1.32 | +0.27 |
Newcastle United players, ranked
| Player | Pos | Price | xMins | Starts | GW6 xPts | Ceiling | Haul | Blank | Run total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnes | MID | £6.1m | 80 | 94% | 4.80 | 10.4 | 11% | 14% | 34.6 |
| Thiaw | DEF | £5.0m | 87 | 97% | 4.69 | 9.0 | 8% | 36% | 31.3 |
| Wissa | FWD | £6.2m | 74 | 79% | 4.23 | 10.6 | 10% | 31% | 30.2 |
| Botman | DEF | £5.0m | 85 | 94% | 4.60 | 9.5 | 6% | 32% | 29.9 |
| Hall | DEF | £5.2m | 84 | 97% | 4.32 | 8.6 | 7% | 44% | 28.5 |
| L.Miley | MID | £5.5m | 73 | 83% | 3.38 | 6.3 | 5% | 25% | 23.5 |
| J.Murphy | MID | £5.9m | 63 | 74% | 3.22 | 7.3 | 5% | 38% | 22.4 |
| Fernandez-Pardo | FWD | £6.0m | 53 | 55% | 3.13 | 8.2 | 5% | 49% | 21.3 |
| Horníček | GKP | £5.0m | 73 | 81% | 3.00 | 6.4 | 0% | 46% | 20.8 |
| N.Gonzalez | MID | £5.5m | 53 | 60% | 2.28 | 5.2 | 2% | 52% | 15.8 |
| Willock | MID | £5.0m | 53 | 56% | 2.44 | 6.3 | 3% | 52% | 14.3 |
| Burn | DEF | £4.9m | 46 | 41% | 1.90 | 6.0 | 1% | 74% | 13.6 |
| Touré | MID | £5.8m | 29 | 30% | 1.52 | 4.2 | 2% | 74% | 12.8 |
| Schär | DEF | £4.9m | 47 | 42% | 2.17 | 6.8 | 3% | 72% | 11.6 |
| Livramento | DEF | £4.9m | 26 | 21% | 0.96 | 4.0 | 1% | 89% | 7.7 |
| Elanga | MID | £6.1m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 7.2 |
| Dedić | DEF | £4.5m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 7.1 |
| Steur | MID | £4.9m | 25 | 23% | 1.07 | 3.1 | 1% | 79% | 6.1 |
| Pope | GKP | £4.9m | 14 | 16% | 0.61 | 2.7 | 0% | 89% | 5.2 |
| Joelinton | MID | £5.4m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 4.1 |
| Mills | MID | £4.5m | 12 | 12% | 0.66 | 2.1 | 1% | 89% | 3.8 |
| Thompson | MID | £4.5m | 12 | 12% | 0.64 | 2.1 | 1% | 89% | 3.7 |
| Osula | FWD | £5.8m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 3.4 |
| Miley | MID | £4.5m | 10 | 9% | 0.50 | 1.0 | 1% | 92% | 3.2 |
| Pivas | DEF | £4.0m | 11 | 11% | 0.54 | 1.0 | 1% | 94% | 3.0 |
| Salia | FWD | £4.5m | 7 | 5% | 0.45 | 1.2 | 0% | 95% | 2.8 |
| J.Ramsey | MID | £4.9m | -- | 0% | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2.6 |
| Bamba | MID | £4.9m | 6 | 6% | 0.31 | 1.0 | 0% | 95% | 2.5 |
| Gillespie | GKP | £4.5m | 2 | 3% | 0.12 | 0.0 | 0% | 98% | 1.6 |
| Jaouen | GKP | £4.4m | 0 | 0% | 0.03 | 0.0 | 0% | 100% | 1.3 |